Poker Strategy Info And Source:
CLP subscriber SquishMyTomato makes a flush on the turn from out of position but gets a scary run out. What should his action be on the river?
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Source: YouTube
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The analysis is great given the input……
But how is it possible that we are against a tight (???) player, that would always call on the river with a straight (when he beats absolutely nothing, but bluffs)? This assumption doesn't make sense and it distorts the analysis.
Also the fact that the opponent just called with a full house, proves that he would never call this bet with a straight.
If the guy tanked for four min with a boat, I don't think he's finding the hero button w an A. (obvi w didn't know that but pointing out that that was a string assumption and def not accurate)
I'm usually all for thin value in live poker but not here!
He'd have to check back AK and AJ, AND call the turn with a flush on the board when a guy leads into a multiway pot, and a board that stands to hit the raiser. Then he has to think you're bluffing there again on the river.
He'd have to be pretty bad because how often is anyone bluffing that board, after that action?
Easy check fold. :/
Good videos Bart. Just thought I would chime in as well. Since villain checked back flop and just flatted the turn lead by hero, we're likely beating only AJ/AK and likely losing to KK/KQ/QQ/AJhh/1010/JJ/A9hh (maybe). I think there is merit to just check evaluating the river or betting very small. (If bet was $100 on turn then maybe like $125 on river) There is zero chance that you get looked up by an A to an almost pot sized bet of $300 into $380. Especially if villain is even a somewhat thinking player. And even more so if he is on the tighter side.
Dont forget that AJhh beats us
raiser has a full house …!
I'm late to the party here commentating, but Bart always does this. He asked the Hero for reads and tends to trust them. If the reads are off, it's not Bart's mistake, and Bart is not the one losing money.