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Baccarat card counting system
When it comes to Baccarat card counting, it works for you when you want to know when the player’s bet is worth more than the banker’s to place a bet. And this will assist in switching your wagers. Many of the times the banker’s bet is the best. But there are times when the deck composition is altered that the player bet passes it.
When it comes to card counting, it is all about adding or subtracting to a running count and using it to determine the ratio of the baccarat cards in the deck.
Card counting will require you to start your counting from zero after a new deck or shoe is used.
When you have a two, three or Ace dealt from the deck, you will add one to the count which is an indication that there is an increased chance of switching to the player’s bet. When you have fours, they are worth doubles, which means you should add two to your count after the cards have been dealt.
There are cards that will lower your chances of being better, and these are fives, sevens, and eights. And when these cards are dealt, you will need to subtract one from the count for all the three. When a six is dealt, you will need to subtract two.
All the other cards from nines to kings will not alter your count as in this case they are worth zero.
The concept of card counting strategy
The concept of this baccarat system of card counting is that you will most probably switch to the player’s bet when the count is increasing. And the baccarat bet becomes less likely when the size diminishes. When you have a running count, you might need to divide the number by the number of decks left in the shoe to establish the actual count.
For instance, when you have a running count of 20 and the number of deck remaining is 4, this means that the actual count stands at 5. And this is no cause for alarm. When you have a running count of 20 and the number of deck remaining is 2, then 10 is a great deal. When you have an actual count of 16 or more, you need to change to the player’s bet.
Tips to improve card counting skills
For you to get better with card counting, you need to practice a lot. You can start by sitting with a deck of cards and flip them over a card at a time and trying to sum the count until you are done with the deck. When you count the entire deck, in the end, the total should be zero. And if not, then you made a mistake.
Baccarat game rules were carefully thought and developed to give a small advantage to the banker. And the highest edge was given to the baccarat tie bet.
When we get deep into calculations, it has been found that the banker will have an advantage of 50.68% and the player will have a gain of 49.32%. But this applies where there are no baccarat tie bets. The difference between these two in percentages is 1.36, which shows the baccarat house edge against the bets placed by the players.
Casinos are aware of the baccarat house edge advantage, and this is where they make their money. If the house edge were not in their favour, they would run out of business. These odds are taken into account and can tilt it back again to their favour by charging a commission of 5% on winning the banker bet.
When it comes to the banker’s bet odds, let’s assume that you will wager 100 credits and take into account the 5% commission when you win the banker bets. This means that you will be winning 0.95 credits for every one credit you wager.
After you are done practicing with dealing one card, you should proceed to count with two cards which will be a simulation similar to that of an actual Baccarat game.
As a banker, you expect to win 50.68% of the time and if you do so (0.95×50.68=48.15), you will earn 48.15%, which means you will have lost 49.32% of your bets and the difference between 48.15 and 50.68 is 1.17 which is the banker’s house advantage.
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Source: YouTube
