10 thoughts on “How to Play Pocket Aces on Bad Runouts”

1. FOLD. this board is way too dangerous!

2. Call the river card.
   If villian has any sets, he will double barrel. At the turn, the flop is wet and the villian should charge hero for the river card. I put villain with Broadway and pocket 9+.

   We also have to ask why villain overbet river? What kind of weak hands can you get value from if you're villan? With the overbet, only someone with a straight or better can call. So the only reason for the bet is to make hero to fold rather than getting value from him.

3. I would fold here. He doesn't even need to hit a straight. In addition to the obvious 4 or 9, he could have other suited connectors such as 5/6, 6/7, 6/8 that would make two pair on the river and still beat you. Note that all those suited connectors also make sense to bet on the flop and check on the turn. Lastly, considering the bet size is ~1.5 times the pot, so the pot odds is 1:2.5. Thus, you have to be correct once every 3.5 times to be worth calling. However, due to the vast amount of suited connectors that have realized equity and the amount of broadway cards (Q/J, K/J, etc.) filtered from the hand-reading funnel, I don't think it's worth calling. I would suggest folding and wait for a better flop to win with Aces next time haha.

4. i fold he got a set.

5. Hero check called flop and checked turn and river so his range definitely looks capped at overpairs and could include suited Broadway's with backdoor equity. Playing this deep in position I think the villain has a wider range than many of the comments suggest. Assuming he has hero pegged as a tighter recreational player capable of folding an overpair, I think he's bluffing often here. AA is best hand hero can have in this situation so I think he has to make the call.

6. Yes I know how to fold AA. It's hard, but it needs to happen sometimes.

7. My answer is do a feeler bet that is disguised as a value bet to find out if he's facing an actual straight. A nut straight holding will raise or even shove. Throw chips in for information and to test the fold equity, and if the "villain" is holding the higher straight he will raise. Then you fold of course. If he holds the lower straight or something less than such, he may think, and call, or even fold. You still have only ONE PAIR so you could even be facing a set or two pair. If he has a lower high pair such as QQ or KK, he might call, but a bluff is not likely. I think there is a chance you have the best hand if you are facing a very tight player and if you're facing a loose one, then you're very unsure if he has the straight. I feel strongly that past observation is key here, as you could tell if he really has the straight or not by past playing habits.
    I recommend a bet of 1/4 the pot on the river, calmly and confidently. (but this is online, so demeanor is meaningless I only play live games now.)

8. TLDR Version: I would fold because imo Villian takes too many bluffs out of his range by checking back the turn in position.

   Hi Alec, and thanks for the opportunity!

   I’m folding in this spot.
   On the flop, I think we can agree it’s good strategy for villain to bet more of a linear/merged range (strong value hands, weak value hands, and bluffs).

   But on the turn and river you really want to bet a more polarized range containing strong hands and bluffs. This means he shouldn’t be betting hands like 99/98/86/76/66 on the turn or QQ-TT on the river.

   Given this, the villian’s check on the turn substantially takes away many potential river bluffs he could have since he declined the opportunity to bluff again when checked to a second time. Hands without showdown value would want to bet again when a brick falls on the turn.

   What the turn check in this type of situation often reveals is that the opponent has some showdown value. On the turn, this is great news for our hero. He beats a lot of, or all of the hands that are checking back the turn.
   (QQ-TT/T8s/99/98s/97s/86s/76s/56s/54s)

   But then a terrible river card falls, and our opponent makes a super polarizing over pot bet after hero checks a third time. This should remove hands like QQ-TT and other one pair hands that are possibly checking back the turn A8s/A7s/T8s, and leaves mostly hands that have improved to Two Pair or better like 99/98s/97s/86s/76s/56s.

   Fold.

9. He knows your range is good high pairs. I think he has AK

10. Tough spot, that’s what happens after you check the flop and give up control.

    The player type you described would call a 3 bet with mid pocket pairs like 55, 66, 77, etc. If your read is right, He has a set and artistry.

    I think hero knows he’s beat and folded, being the donk I can be I would call.

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