Poker Strategy: Can We Hero Fold Top Two?

Poker Strategy Info And Source:

In this hand we flop top two and raise flop but take a conservative line on the turn. However, when villain bets pot on the river we have to wonder if our hand is good.

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Poker Strategy: Can We Hero Fold Top Two?

10 thoughts on “Poker Strategy: Can We Hero Fold Top Two?

  1. Bad call but it somehow worked out. Hopefully he doesn’t let that get to his head and he should fold here in the future

  2. Did the UTG1 player open $40 and get one caller before the Hero raises?

    Would sizing up, to say $160, help to thin the heart draws?

    If so, perhaps he can have more confidence to bet the turn. Thoughts?

  3. shoulda bet on the turn…sure, you might win a smaller pot, but you also avoid hard decisions like this, and make him pay for drawing. two pair is usually kind of vulnerable, and i believe it should be played pretty fast in a lot of cases.

  4. I think Hero was fortunate to run into the ONLY reasonable value hand that he was ahead of, Q10 specifically. I think he's crushed by the rest of the Vs value range. It worked out for him here and he got max value with his line, but I think most of this hand is an abomination.

  5. On the flop I can actually go both ways and either raise, like Hero did, or just call. I like raising against a thinking player, who will notice, that the board is very wet and put me on a draw. I also like it against someone, who is completely unable to fold a top pair or an overpair.

    However against someone, who might view the raise as very strong, and who dont want to stack off a single pair this deep, I prefer to just call and let him continue to hang himself. The great thing about being in position is, we can always take over the betting, if our opponent slow down, and we can also raise the turn or river, if he continue. So we dont always have to come right out of the bat with a raise on the flop.

    As played I actually like checking the turn behind. I think, the flop raise represent sets and strong flush draws, so when the flush comes in, is Villain still going to stack off a single pair, now that he beat like nothing? I really dont think so, and if someone does, I think, they need to come back down to earth.

    On the river we dont even expect Villain to have QT, given that he had a limping range, and he was UTG. And even if we can put QT in his range, it mean, he is opening much wider, than we thought, and then he can also have more combos of the flush. Plus AK got there as well, and that is also a reasonable hand for him to show up with.

    We need to be good 35% of the time to break even, and I think, we are lucky to be good 20% of the time here. This outcome is an outlier, and so often we will be shown a flush or straight, if we make this call. If he bet a more normal size, then I would put 1 pair hands in his range and make the call. But when he pots it, we have a clear fold.

  6. If I'm the villain, this is a great spot to turn AAh or KKh into a bluff. As it was played, horrible play by the villain all around. I like Bart's analysis of hero betting small on the turn.

  7. bad play very common at 1/2 & 2/5. It's still a fold most of the time. Also super soft games, players also limp any Ax UTG and call from any pos very often, True story…

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