10 thoughts on “Poker Strategy: Running A Three Barrel Bluff With Pocket 9s”

1. This seemed like a great hand to bluff with. He blocks so many nines which the villain would need for the nuts. Also he has no club blocker meaning villain has a higher probability of being on a backdoor club draw. That combined with his 100’s of hours of knowledge of his opponents odd consistent Broadway play to me makes this a scam dunk. If we take this same river and give him 7’s it’s not nearly as good because he’s beat bad by so many nines.

2. Would be interesting to do this hand in reverse with villain holding a8cc

3. can we even use the word "barrel" here for those little bets? he got lucky here but IMO this doesn't seem like a great strategy.

4. I like ur vids and analysis. I liked his play but that $210 was too small. While it looked value as if he had an AQ in hole, many at 1-2 would call $210. Like u said, $300 or 60% pot would still be value and a good fold amount. Moral is again, the aggressor will take down pots in $1-2 games. If hero checks flop, maybe villain takes betting control and flips the tables and hero fold 99 w that broadway board.

5. I had 66 at 2/5 NLon A93 board vs calling station with several years of history. Bet 100 flop. 225 Turn. All in for 780 river. He tank folded AJ saying he put me on A9. Run out was good for bluff knowing he had Ax. The above board I would have given up on turn.

6. It’s a fine bluff. If you are going to use a 1/3 sizing on flop this is a board you are going to bet 100%. It depends if you are raising like 55 etc pre. But if you aren’t then 99 is an ok bluff. River is particularly good cos your other turn bluffs are like JTs QTs which are now too strong to bluff. So makes complete sense to bluff this one. Also, you are going to want to value bet 88, AA, KK, AK, AT, so choosing a small size on river with entire betting range makes sense considering villain unlikely to have a Q. Well played. Don’t listen to Bart.

   Only issue I have is turn bet sizing. You should bet closer to 3/4 or pot as you want to apply pressure and also get stacks in with your value.

7. Hero used knowledge of his opponent well. SB missed the flop and villain with probable A-rag was too weak to raise and should have quit on turn. Value-size river bet was enough.

8. I don't think low limit players get as much respect as some deserve. I come and go at poker, and whenever I come back I obsess and watch theory videos – and just manage to crush and build rolls. I have no problem making good folds, or shoving rivers on a bluff in a good GTO situation. I have started speaking to regs who really are trying hard to think and play well, and they would fold two pair here all day long on micro stakes even.

   In general calling mistakes at lower is by far the biggest leak, however I really do think low level players are under-estimated by a large margin. There is some great 1-2 grinders who have just never had the nerve to run up a bankroll and take shots. The assumption is all good players move up, this isn't true. I build rolls and played higher and never seen any skill increases worth noting and I am almost 100% sure I could beat higher limits without much resistance. I have a family though and a start up. Running up a bankroll is great, and I'll use it and do it again because the money means something. I would bet there is plenty of people who could beat limits higher, that just don't have a roll to move up, and don't ever build one because they need the money.

   I've watched 5-5 and 5-10 games (I'm not rolled) and I'm stunned at how bad they can be, I've played with regs from those games in lower limits, and again I'm stunned that they are not that good and I see massive exploits in their game or dynamics to exploit.

   For example this caller – when he tried to rep the queen – the first thing I thought is the same as Bart – the only had you could ever rep now is AQ. It's not hard to see that though.

   I stacked someone thinking like this caller last night – and the problem was I knew he was thinking I had a capped range. He was very wrong and bluffed all three streets with a no equity hand. He didn't expect me to raise A5 suited from MP – and a 558 flop he tried to barrel me off what he assumed was an overpair. He ended up very polarised to the point where if I had a 5 or AK (no pair) was basically the same. He was repping a set only – and thought his aggressive line should work. Assumptions are very bad to make without a huge amount of info. When they raise and fold an 855 flop the assumption is "he probably had AJ" how many hands showdown though really to make that assumption?

9. if villian is good, he might turn his weak Ax into bluff, maybe even his two pair..
   i don't get the river bluff, you rep so less hands

10. #streetpoker

Comments are closed.