Poker Strategy Info And Source:
The first Hello Alec after a short break is coming from my reader Matt. He played this hand in a later stages of a big poker tournament, and he would like to know is his tournament poker strategy correct here. He played this hand against the villain who was the under the gun plus two and he decided to shove on the turn. What do you guys think, can this shove be profitable in the long term? How would you play this hand? Share your poker analysis and poker tips below. #HelloAlec
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Source: YouTube
19bb pre = shove if you are going to play this hand here. I don't like the spot after a MP raise. If you flat here it's a 3 spr pot so plan b is to shove the flop. I probably fold and wait til after the button and find a place to shove light in position.
To make dough, one must fold.
Shove pre flop would be okay. As played check bet jam or check check/call and call off what evs on the river. Your not representing a flush by check shoving and why turn top pair into a bluff?
Fold or shove pre. As played, what better hands do you expect villain to bet/fold? And what worse hands will they be bet/calling with? Without having the nut flush blocker yourself, I think the turn shove is too risky for your tournament life. Wait for a better hand and/or position to make your move.
Shove pre or fold.
Bad shove. He made almost a pot sized bet on the turn meaning he wasn't folding to a shove. You nailed his range down to AK, but the size of the bet should tell you he had the Ace of hearts. I would have led the turn with bet around 7K-8K bet and folded to a raise.
On the turn the K hearts helped V unless it was a bluff and not a good spot to bluff.. Your logic of only behind AK is flawed. Villain could have a flush. You are not representing a flush as a flush would call. V would not raise preflop with KJ.
Hello,
This is a clear jam pre flop. We like to push marginal edge and jamming 22+/Kj+/ace 10+ and some suited connectors like 78 56 should be great. And no shoving 20 bb isn't a punt. It's amazing how people don't jam kq here when that should be in your value range of jams
Is a gross hand to see though, expecting to get called by A of hearts like AQ or AK without the heart but sick when he turns over the AK with the heart haha
I have paused the video after your turn shove, so I haven't seen Villain's hand yet. At this point, I feel fairly certain you are beat. Villain either already has the flush, or, more likely, has AK. It's pretty unlikely that a hand that is losing to you makes the 12k bet on the turn. So, your shove can really only serve one purpose – to get AK to fold. If he has AK with the Ace of hearts, no chance he folds. He might fold one of the other AK's, but that seems unlikely, given that he is getting almost 3:1 on a call. I'd say fold is the move here.
The turn is kind of an ugly spot for you, but calling a middle position preflop raise with KQo in the small blind is going to get you into some pretty ugly spots. Once you decide to make that call, you should proceed with extreme caution. I don't think shoving on the turn is cautious enough.
EDIT: I play mostly cash games, so my analysis of Villain's range may be incorrect (though, now that I've watched the entire video, I see he did have AK, as I suspected). I don't play many tournaments, so I don't know if 20bb is shove-or-fold territory, but if it is, that decision probably should have been made preflop.