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Are you an unlucky poker player that’s getting more than your fair share of bad beats? In this episode of AskAlec, Alec shares his mindset poker strategies, poker tips and perspective for how to overcome bad luck in poker, deal with bad beats and handle the variance in poker. Viewer beware: his answer may shock you! What do you think? How do you deal with being unlucky in poker? Share your thoughts in a comment below.
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Source: YouTube
Yes I agree
Thanks for this video man, great perspective here.
There is a third possibility, I know Alex and Doug Polk have some beef, but I will remember a number of things Doug has said that we’re “Aha!” moments for me. One was that you may perceive yourself to have bad luck, but you’re simply too predictable of a poker player. The example I remember that Doug mentioned was the poker player that was complaining that his pocket Kings would run into Aces a lot. Well, if you’re only ever 4 bet jamming with AA and KK, and opponents notice this, they will just fold anything but AA to you. So when you get called you’re always crushed, even with the 2nd best hand in poker.
You might just be too predictable, and failing to notice this, along with some memory selection bias might contribute to the feeling that you are “unlucky” when you are simply readable.
The is no unlucky player
Its either you are on a loosing streak or you gameplay has some leaks
Thanks again Alec!
Great video!
Or maybe you play in the wrong rigged game!
I'm not much of a poker player. And I haven't kept up with advances in poker theory so where I could hold my own in 1/2 15 years ago, I get eaten alive even on bad online sites now (like sportsbook sites with poker as an afterthought).
I will say this, however. I used to play Magic: the Gathering competitively and I tracked data for opening hands and land draws vs. expectations at tournaments because I felt like I was getting consistently unlucky. And the data showed that, yes, indeed, I was consistently unlucky and consistently unlucky over long periods of time. Not that I never drew better than expected, but I drew worse than expected far more frequently.
I really dislike the term variance. I recognize its usefulness; people almost invariably think they're better at literally everything than they actually are. But variance comes with the implication that over time, the upswing and the down swings even out. And while this is generally the case, it's still a bell curve and you still have that small minority of people who get shat on by lady luck repeatedly and the flip side, people that trip into a pile of bad and come up holding a diamond every time. If you have 2 million people flipping 100 coins, 1 of then is going to flip the same face all 100 times. I think it's important to recognize that some people are luckier than average and some are less lucky. And that may go in streaks but sometimes those streaks are decades or lifetime long.
That having been said, I agree that there's no good way to strategize around chance. You can't just fold your aces preflop because you lose with them more often than you should statistically. You still have to play the optimal game, not the outcome based game. The only real advice you can give to a truly unlucky player is to stop playing games where luck is an element.
POKER sux because U WILL DUST sooner or later on a RIVER !!! IMO
except on multway tournaments, luck there is 100% real. I played a 180 seats tournament, got to the final table, 2 in chips. the guy raise me(since he bluff a lot) I call, the flop is J28, he bets big, I had A10s and go all in. he think eternally for a minute, and calls with Q3, hitting the Q on the river. you can be the best on the table, and still gonna loose.