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Surviving The Deadliest Game

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There’s no more dangerous game than Russian Roulette. One wrong move and the consequences are fatal… and Balloon Kevin knows it.

The real difficulty is that in the sort of game you see played in a movie, there’s no skill involved when a player makes that move. It’s right or it’s wrong, and it’s a combination of the highest possible stakes with the lowest possible element of human control.

According to Nick Berry of DataGenetics, a common job interview question tests the mathematical reasoning and probability skills of interviewees by asking them to consider an alternative, slightly more complex arrangement: with *two* potentially fatal chambers loaded, and after having successfully survived the first round of a game, does the player request to spin the cylinder, or do they just let it go? Does it even matter?

The answer is surprising, and the exercise is a lesson in how gaining a small edge — or not losing one — can make a tremendous difference. If you were faced with consequences this dire, wouldn’t you want every percentage point of survivability your math mind could muster?

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Hosted and Produced by Kevin Lieber
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Research And Writing by Matthew Tabor

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Special Thanks Dave Keine

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Surviving The Deadliest Game

10 thoughts on “Surviving The Deadliest Game”

  2. i have played russian roullette with a toy gun shooting blanks, it is fun, score is 10 tries, died 2 times

  5. Correct me if i'm wrong, but when he calculated the probability he forgot the fact that the gun can't be in a position with a bullet right before it, because it would've fired the first time… So this should set the actual probability of no-spinning with two adjacent bullets back at 2/3, this thou doesn't change the odds only because 6 and 2 are special cases, with other numbers the odds should change anyways

  10. The problem is, if the bullets are adjacent, there is a VERY high probability, that after spinning the cyllinder, the bullets will be on the bottom of it because of how gravity works, so it should be a lot better to spin the cylinder again.

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