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Luck vs. Skill in Poker Playing | Poker Tutorials

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Hey I’m Nicky Numbers, I’m a professional poker player, and maybe the most common question I get asked is: How much of poker is luck versus skill? Well, that answer to that really depends on the sample size. If you just play one hand of poker, it’s going to primarily be luck that drives the outcome of the hand. Just one session of cash game poker is going to be largely luck. One tournament hand or one tournament, tremendous amounts of luck. However, the more hands you play, the less luck there is.

As the number of hands approaches infinity, luck approaches zero. If you play tens of thousands of cash game hands, or thousands of tournaments, and you’re a good poker player, you will win in the long run. Poker is a pure skill and the reason it’s beatable in the long run is because the house, the poker room or the casino, only takes a very small amount out of each pot and they’re not a player.

You’re not playing against the house like you would be in craps or roulette, where if you play frequently enough, they’re guaranteed to win. In poker you’re playing against other players and the house is basically just charging you an hourly amount to sit at the table. This amount comes out in the form of rake, which they take a small percentage from each pot or they take an upfront vig for a poker tournament. So for example you might play a poker tournament that’s $120, where $20 of it is just going to the house and $100 is going to the prize pool. Unless the rake is too high, which it will rarely be in a casino or a poker room, then the games are going to be beatable.

However, you do have to be careful when you’re playing in home games or private games, because it’s not uncommon for those games to have enormous rakes. Something like 10% of the pot with no cap might well be an unbeatable game for most if not all poker players. The more poker that’s played, the more the cream will rise to the top. Play enough poker, and if you’re a very good player, you will win in the long run.

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Luck vs. Skill in Poker Playing | Poker Tutorials

10 thoughts on “Luck vs. Skill in Poker Playing | Poker Tutorials”

  2. This is the REAL answer to Luck VS Skill: Poker is a weird game. It's both, but not combined. Poker is 100% LUCK. But here is the twist: when luck hits you, Poker instantly becomes 100% SKILL.

    Conclusion? Well, Poker is both luck and skill, but luck HAS to come first. Why? Because the best player in the world WILL LOSE any tournament / table if luck doesn't hit at all.

  4. It's 10% luck, 20% skill, 15% concentrated power of will,
    5% pleasure, 50% pain
    and a 100% reason to remember the name!

  5. So what I got out of this video is that I should turn my basement into a casino and take 10%.

  6. The more poker you play the LUCKIER you get ! The more you play the higher the odds are that you will eventually win ! IT'S ULTIMATELY ABOUT THE CARDS YOU'RE DEALT !!!

  7. "You're Right: I Won- 11 Pots in The Reno's&Tachi Palace's CasinoPoker Room!"- Over The Long Run&I Had to Overcome My Losses&Learn from It: Which is To Hold-On to The Nuts&Win The Pots!-It's That Simple!&Most Importantly: I Used a Card Protector-On My Holecards: In The Poker Rooms!: (If You Use Zippo Lighters-On Your Holecards!: (General Rule!): Please: No-Lighter Fuel- In IT!: So It: Doesn't Stain Your Holecards in The Poker Rooms!)&(Good Luck: On The Green Felt&In The Poker Rooms!) Raymond "Mike" Hong of Oakland, CA&UC Berkeley's Caldining Employee!

  8. Take notice that he said that one hand of poker or one tournament is TREMENDOUS amounts of luck !? In other words poker is about CHANCE/LUCK ! And if so called poker SKILLS can't turn the odds in your favor 9 times out of 10 then they amount to NOTHING and as a matter of fact poker skills don't actually exist ! Anyone can play with a basic knowledge of the rules of the game and anyone can win because it's based on RANDOMNESS of the cards being dealt ! The more you play the greater the odds are that you will eventually win a hand or perhaps even a tournament ! However more play also guarantees MORE LOSSES and that's a FACT !!!

  10. NL hold em tourneys are mostly skill but even the skilled guys get bad luck and that’s where poker is rough and truly a mental game.

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